Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 19:45
13.5127.3%
X3.1430.5%
22.2742.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Empoli
LLDLLWDDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Torino
DLDLDWDLDW
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
0.90
1.60
Conceded
1.00
40%
Over 2.5
20%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.20
1H goals
0.70
1.20
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.30
Against
5.00
10.70
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.60
Goals conceded
1.00
2.40
Total goals
1.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Empoli attack

0.80goals per match
Torino conceded1.00
Matchup

Torino attack

0.90goals per match
Empoli conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.30
Corners against
5.00
10.70
Match total
8.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.30
Match total
5.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
13.80N=10
26.90
Match total
25.60

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
4.30
On target
3.50
6%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches195
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.3%28.2%+0.9 pp
Draw30.5%31.3%+0.8 pp
Away42.2%40.5%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.7%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.522.6%
BTTS50.3%

Historical average

1.051.30

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.9%
0-113.3%
1-010.8%
0-08.2%
1-27.2%

Comparable corner averages

3.955.07
Average total9.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=195.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.557.9%
Over 9.542.1%
Over 10.527.7%
Over 11.520.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches55
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.8%12.9%–34.4% CI
Draw FT47.3%34.7%–60.2% CI
Away FT30.9%20.3%–44.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.9%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals7.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.8%
Away49.1%