Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 17:00
12.2343.0%
X3.1530.4%
23.6126.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Roma
WWDWDWWLWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Lazio
LLDWWLWWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.60
1.10
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.80N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.00
Against
6.10
7.80
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
3.20
Total goals
2.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Roma attack

2.10goals per match
Lazio conceded1.30
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.60goals per match
Roma conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.10
7.80
Match total
11.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.30
Match total
5.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
25.70
Match total
24.30

Shots

11.70N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.90
On target
3.50
18%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches678
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.0%42.6%-0.4 pp
Draw30.4%32.9%+2.5 pp
Away26.6%24.5%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS50.1%

Historical average

1.351.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.9%
1-012.2%
0-010.2%
2-09.6%
2-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.164.27
Average total9.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=677.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.2%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.533.7%
Over 11.522.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches231
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.3%27.6%–39.6% CI
Draw FT46.3%40.0%–52.8% CI
Away FT20.3%15.7%–26.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.1%
2+ goals44.2%
3+ goals15.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away43.3%