Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 17:00
12.2343.0%
X3.1530.4%
23.6126.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Roma
WWDWDWWLWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Lazio
LLDWWLWWLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.60
1.10
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.90
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
3.80N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.00
Against
6.10
7.80
Total
11.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.30
3.20
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Roma attack
2.10goals per matchLazio conceded1.30Matchup
Lazio attack
1.60goals per matchRoma conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.80N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.10
7.80
Match total
11.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.60N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.30
Match total
5.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
25.70
Match total
24.30
Shots
11.70N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
3.90
On target
3.50
18%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches678
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.0%42.6%-0.4 pp
Draw30.4%32.9%+2.5 pp
Away26.6%24.5%-2.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.7%
Over 2.541.3%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS50.1%
Historical average
1.35–1.03
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.9%
1-012.2%
0-010.2%
2-09.6%
2-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.16–4.27
Average total9.43
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=677.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.2%
Over 9.547.1%
Over 10.533.7%
Over 11.522.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches231
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.3%27.6%–39.6% CI
Draw FT46.3%40.0%–52.8% CI
Away FT20.3%15.7%–26.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.37
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.1%
2+ goals44.2%
3+ goals15.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.5%
Away43.3%