Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-06 · 14:00
11.3770.0%
X5.0619.0%
28.7111.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
LWWWWWDWDW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Lecce
DDLLLLLLDW
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
0.60
0.60
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.10
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.80
Against
6.60
10.10
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
0.60
0.60
Goals conceded
1.60
2.20
Total goals
2.20
50%5/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.60goals per match
Lecce conceded1.60
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.60goals per match
Milan conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.30
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.60
10.10
Match total
10.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.70
Match total
4.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
22.30
Match total
26.50

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
5.20
On target
4.00
11%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches87
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.0%69.0%-1.1 pp
Draw19.0%18.4%-0.6 pp
Away11.0%12.6%+1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.6%
Over 2.551.7%
Over 3.528.7%
BTTS48.3%

Historical average

1.990.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.1%
2-013.8%
2-111.5%
1-18.0%
3-05.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.593.20
Average total10.78

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=87.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.2%
Over 9.560.9%
Over 10.547.1%
Over 11.539.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.0%34.2%–74.2% CI
Draw FT35.0%18.1%–56.7% CI
Away FT10.0%2.8%–30.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.35

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals15.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away35.0%