Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-05 · 19:45
13.2829.2%
X3.4627.7%
22.2343.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Salernitana
LWLDLLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM
Sassuolo
WLDLLLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
0.90
1.90
Conceded
2.10
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.30
1.70
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
6.00N=10
5.90
Against
5.60
11.20
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
0.90
1.90
Goals conceded
2.10
2.80
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Salernitana attack

0.90goals per match
Sassuolo conceded2.10
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

0.90goals per match
Salernitana conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
5.90
Corners against
5.60
11.20
Match total
11.60
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.00N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.70
Match total
3.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
25.30
Match total
23.30

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
4.30
On target
4.50
7%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches464
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.2%25.6%-3.6 pp
Draw27.7%26.5%-1.2 pp
Away43.0%47.8%+4.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.549.8%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS55.6%

Historical average

1.131.57

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.7%
1-210.8%
0-19.9%
0-28.6%
0-07.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.675.16
Average total9.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=464.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.538.6%
Over 11.527.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches137
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.9%15.8%–29.5% CI
Draw FT38.0%30.3%–46.3% CI
Away FT40.1%32.3%–48.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.56

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.2%
2+ goals51.1%
3+ goals21.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.6%
Away62.0%