Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-01 · 19:45
11.2079.3%
X7.0413.5%
213.257.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Inter
WWWWWWWWWD
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Empoli
LWDLDLDWWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.10
0.30
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
0.60
1.10
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

8.30N=10
For
4.70N=10
2.40
Against
6.60
10.70
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.10
0.30
Goals conceded
1.10
2.60
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Inter attack

2.30goals per match
Empoli conceded1.10
Matchup

Empoli attack

1.10goals per match
Inter conceded0.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.00
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
90%9/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.30N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
2.40
Corners against
6.60
10.70
Match total
11.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.60
Match total
4.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.50N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
22.00
Match total
27.30

Shots

18.30N=10
Shots
10.50N=10
6.20
On target
2.60
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches52
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.3%82.7%+3.4 pp
Draw13.5%13.5%-0.1 pp
Away7.2%3.8%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.5%
Over 2.563.5%
Over 3.548.1%
BTTS48.1%

Historical average

2.810.71

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-015.4%
2-19.6%
3-17.7%
4-07.7%
1-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

7.563.63
Average total11.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=52.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.582.7%
Over 9.563.5%
Over 10.555.8%
Over 11.540.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT57.9%36.3%–76.9% CI
Draw FT26.3%11.8%–48.8% CI
Away FT15.8%5.5%–37.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.74

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.2%
2+ goals57.9%
3+ goals15.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.4%
Away36.8%