Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-01 · 17:00
14.3322.1%
X3.5227.1%
21.8850.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
DLDDWDLWLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Roma
LDWLLLWWWD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.40
1.70
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.70
1.70
2H goals
1.90
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.10N=10
4.10
Against
4.60
9.40
Total
7.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.40
1.70
Goals conceded
1.20
2.70
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

1.00goals per match
Roma conceded1.20
Matchup

Roma attack

1.40goals per match
Lecce conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.10
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.60
9.40
Match total
7.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
3.20N=10
5.20
Match total
5.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
13.30N=10
27.40
Match total
25.50

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.30
On target
3.70
7%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches197
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home22.1%20.8%-1.2 pp
Draw27.1%21.8%-5.3 pp
Away50.8%57.4%+6.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.5%
Over 2.541.6%
Over 3.520.8%
BTTS40.1%

Historical average

0.801.64

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-214.7%
1-211.2%
0-111.2%
1-010.7%
1-110.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.135.59
Average total9.72

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=197.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.548.2%
Over 10.537.1%
Over 11.524.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches65
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.5%13.3%–33.0% CI
Draw FT30.8%20.9%–42.8% CI
Away FT47.7%36.0%–59.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.14

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.8%
2+ goals30.8%
3+ goals9.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home32.3%
Away52.3%