Serie A · 2023/24
2024-04-01 · 11:30
11.2974.0%
X5.4417.5%
211.258.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bologna
WWWWDWWWWL
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Salernitana
LDLLWLDLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
0.80
0.40
Conceded
2.10
20%
Over 2.5
60%
20%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.60
1.30
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.00
Against
8.40
7.90
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
0.80
0.40
Goals conceded
2.10
2.30
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.90goals per match
Salernitana conceded2.10
Matchup

Salernitana attack

0.80goals per match
Bologna conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.30
0.00
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
2.90N=10
3.00
Corners against
8.40
7.90
Match total
11.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
1.60N=10
5.30
Match total
3.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
24.50
Match total
24.30

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
8.50N=10
3.80
On target
2.00
13%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches63
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.0%79.4%+5.4 pp
Draw17.5%17.5%-0.1 pp
Away8.5%3.2%-5.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.6%
BTTS41.3%

Historical average

2.270.54

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-017.5%
1-017.5%
1-112.7%
3-012.7%
4-06.3%

Comparable corner averages

7.482.76
Average total10.24

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=63.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.1%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.546.0%
Over 11.539.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT82.6%62.9%–93.0% CI
Draw FT17.4%7.0%–37.1% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–14.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.87

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal95.7%
2+ goals60.9%
3+ goals21.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home95.7%
Away17.4%