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Serie A · 2023/24
2024-03-30 · 19:45

Fiorentina

vs

Milan

12.8533.6%
X3.3528.6%
22.5337.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
LWWWWDLWWD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Milan
DDLDWWWLWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
2.30
0.90
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
90%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.70
1.50
2H goals
2.40
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.40
Against
4.60
8.50
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
2.30
0.90
Goals conceded
1.80
2.70
Total goals
4.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.80goals per match
Milan conceded1.80
Matchup

Milan attack

2.30goals per match
Fiorentina conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.20
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.60
8.50
Match total
9.10
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.90
Match total
6.10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
26.20
Match total
24.10

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
15.40N=10
4.90
On target
6.00
12%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches483
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.6%32.5%-1.1 pp
Draw28.6%26.5%-2.1 pp
Away37.8%41.0%+3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.6%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS53.6%

Historical average

1.22–1.37

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.0%
0-112.4%
1-09.7%
1-28.1%
2-17.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.17–5.13
Average total10.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=483.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.6%
Over 9.556.9%
Over 10.545.1%
Over 11.534.4%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches154
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT27.3%20.9%–34.8% CI
Draw FT33.8%26.8%–41.5% CI
Away FT39.0%31.6%–46.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.3%
2+ goals35.7%
3+ goals12.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.2%
Away55.8%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamFiorentinaForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamMilanForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareFiorentina vs MilanCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionSerie ALeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsSerie A team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.