Serie A · 2023/24
2024-03-30 · 17:00
13.1130.8%
X3.0931.0%
22.5138.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lazio
WDWLWWDLLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Juventus
WWWDWWWLDL
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.50
0.80
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
60%
30%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.40
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.50
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.80
Against
5.60
8.50
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.50
0.80
Goals conceded
0.90
1.60
Total goals
2.40
40%4/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lazio attack

0.80goals per match
Juventus conceded0.90
Matchup

Juventus attack

1.50goals per match
Lazio conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.40
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.60
2H goals scored
1.00
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.60
8.50
Match total
10.20
30%3/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
6.10
Match total
3.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
26.20
Match total
22.50

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
14.10N=10
3.90
On target
4.10
7%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches231
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.8%27.3%-3.5 pp
Draw31.0%34.6%+3.6 pp
Away38.2%38.1%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.562.3%
Over 2.537.2%
Over 3.520.3%
BTTS46.8%

Historical average

1.021.16

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-115.2%
1-113.9%
0-013.0%
1-09.5%
1-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.644.89
Average total9.53

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=231.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.2%
Over 9.548.5%
Over 10.535.9%
Over 11.528.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches81
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT24.7%16.6%–35.1% CI
Draw FT51.9%41.1%–62.4% CI
Away FT23.5%15.6%–33.8% CI

Remaining goals

0.98

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.0%
2+ goals27.2%
3+ goals7.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.2%
Away39.5%