Serie A · 2023/24
2024-03-30 · 14:00
11.9549.1%
X3.5427.0%
24.0123.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Genoa
WWDDDDWLWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Frosinone
LLLLLLDLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
2.90
30%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.70
1.10
2H goals
2.20
50%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.00
Against
5.10
10.80
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
2.90
2.30
Total goals
3.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Genoa attack

1.20goals per match
Frosinone conceded2.90
Matchup

Frosinone attack

1.00goals per match
Genoa conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.10
10.80
Match total
9.60
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.60
Match total
3.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.30N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
26.20
Match total
22.30

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
4.70
On target
3.70
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches788
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.1%48.5%-0.6 pp
Draw27.0%27.3%+0.2 pp
Away23.9%24.2%+0.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.524.7%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

1.510.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.2%
1-111.3%
2-110.2%
0-08.8%
2-08.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.634.22
Average total9.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=788.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.549.9%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches270
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.3%33.6%–45.2% CI
Draw FT35.2%29.7%–41.1% CI
Away FT25.6%20.7%–31.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.4%
2+ goals37.8%
3+ goals15.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.7%
Away40.7%