Serie A · 2023/24
2024-03-30 · 14:00
11.9549.1%
X3.5427.0%
24.0123.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Genoa
WWDDDDWLWL
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Frosinone
LLLLLLDLLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
2.90
30%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.70
1.10
2H goals
2.20
50%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
6.80N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.00
Against
5.10
10.80
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
2.90
2.30
Total goals
3.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Genoa attack
1.20goals per matchFrosinone conceded2.90Matchup
Frosinone attack
1.00goals per matchGenoa conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.10
10.80
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.60
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.30N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
26.20
Match total
22.30
Shots
15.50N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
4.70
On target
3.70
8%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches788
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.1%48.5%-0.6 pp
Draw27.0%27.3%+0.2 pp
Away23.9%24.2%+0.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.7%
Over 2.547.6%
Over 3.524.7%
BTTS50.5%
Historical average
1.51–0.99
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-012.2%
1-111.3%
2-110.2%
0-08.8%
2-08.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.63–4.22
Average total9.85
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=788.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.549.9%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.528.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches270
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.3%33.6%–45.2% CI
Draw FT35.2%29.7%–41.1% CI
Away FT25.6%20.7%–31.1% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.4%
2+ goals37.8%
3+ goals15.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.7%
Away40.7%