Serie A · 2023/24
2024-03-30 · 11:30
12.1145.4%
X3.5926.7%
23.4327.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
DLLWDWWDWD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Atalanta
LWDLLDWDLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.50
1.80
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.40N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.00
Against
4.60
10.40
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
2.40
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.20goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.70
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.40goals per match
Napoli conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.00
Corners against
4.60
10.40
Match total
8.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.80N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.30
Match total
4.90
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
22.90
Match total
24.00

Shots

19.60N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
6.60
On target
3.60
6%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches375
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.4%47.2%+1.8 pp
Draw26.7%29.1%+2.4 pp
Away27.9%23.7%-4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.529.3%
BTTS57.9%

Historical average

1.581.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
2-110.9%
1-010.7%
2-07.7%
0-07.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.464.34
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=375.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.7%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.529.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches119
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.5%31.2%–48.5% CI
Draw FT39.5%31.2%–48.5% CI
Away FT21.0%14.7%–29.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.51

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.3%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals21.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.3%
Away48.7%