Serie A · 2023/24
2024-03-17 · 19:45
11.5860.3%
X4.1822.8%
25.6216.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Inter
DWWWWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Napoli
WWWLLLDLDW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.40
0.40
Conceded
1.10
60%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

8.50N=10
For
5.00N=10
2.40
Against
4.10
10.90
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.40
0.40
Goals conceded
1.10
2.80
Total goals
2.50
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Inter attack

2.40goals per match
Napoli conceded1.10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.40goals per match
Inter conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.10
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
90%9/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.50N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
2.40
Corners against
4.10
10.90
Match total
9.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.80
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.70N=10
Committed
10.20N=10
21.50
Match total
21.60

Shots

17.80N=10
Shots
13.70N=10
6.10
On target
4.30
13%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches326
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home60.3%63.5%+3.2 pp
Draw22.8%19.3%-3.5 pp
Away16.9%17.2%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.555.5%
Over 3.531.9%
BTTS51.2%

Historical average

2.050.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-011.3%
2-110.7%
1-010.4%
1-110.1%
0-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.503.78
Average total10.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=326.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.3%
Over 9.554.9%
Over 10.543.6%
Over 11.534.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches88
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.1%40.9%–61.3% CI
Draw FT31.8%23.0%–42.1% CI
Away FT17.0%10.6%–26.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.58

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.2%
2+ goals47.7%
3+ goals21.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home70.5%
Away46.6%