Serie A · 2023/24
2024-03-17 · 17:00
11.3769.3%
X5.0918.7%
27.9012.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Roma
WWWDWDWWLW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
Sassuolo
LWLDLLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
2.20
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.50
1.90
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
5.50N=10
3.80
Against
6.10
8.00
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
2.20
3.20
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Roma attack

2.10goals per match
Sassuolo conceded2.20
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.00goals per match
Roma conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.10
8.00
Match total
11.60
40%4/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.60
Match total
3.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
25.80
Match total
22.70

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
3.90
On target
4.50
16%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches109
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.3%70.6%+1.3 pp
Draw18.7%22.9%+4.3 pp
Away12.0%6.4%-5.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.7%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.539.4%
BTTS58.7%

Historical average

2.310.87

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.8%
1-012.8%
1-111.0%
2-08.3%
2-27.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.133.34
Average total9.47

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=108.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.1%
Over 9.547.2%
Over 10.536.1%
Over 11.528.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.4%32.4%–71.7% CI
Draw FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Away FT9.5%2.7%–28.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals52.4%
3+ goals19.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home71.4%
Away38.1%