Serie A · 2023/24
2024-03-17 · 14:00
15.0119.1%
X3.7325.6%
21.7355.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Verona
LLDDWLWDDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Milan
WDDLDWWWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
2.10
1.40
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
2.20
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.20N=10
6.80
Against
4.60
11.10
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
2.10
1.40
Goals conceded
1.70
2.70
Total goals
3.80
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Verona attack

1.30goals per match
Milan conceded1.70
Matchup

Milan attack

2.10goals per match
Verona conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
6.80
Corners against
4.60
11.10
Match total
8.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
3.30N=10
4.50
Match total
6.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

13.90N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
26.90
Match total
24.70

Shots

13.00N=10
Shots
14.80N=10
5.70
On target
5.70
10%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches183
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.1%18.6%-0.5 pp
Draw25.6%24.0%-1.6 pp
Away55.3%57.4%+2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.544.3%
Over 3.523.0%
BTTS50.3%

Historical average

0.851.68

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.8%
0-114.2%
0-214.2%
1-28.2%
2-16.6%

Comparable corner averages

3.745.60
Average total9.34

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=183.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.3%
Over 9.544.8%
Over 10.533.3%
Over 11.523.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.2%14.1%–35.8% CI
Draw FT26.8%17.0%–39.6% CI
Away FT50.0%37.3%–62.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.48

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.1%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals17.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.5%
Away67.9%