Serie A · 2023/24
2024-03-17 · 11:30
11.5262.9%
X3.9923.9%
27.2413.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Juventus
WWDWWWDLWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Genoa
LLLLWDWDDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.40N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.20
Against
5.10
8.60
Total
8.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Juventus attack
1.50goals per matchGenoa conceded1.30Matchup
Genoa attack
0.90goals per matchJuventus conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.10
8.60
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.50
Match total
5.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.40N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
22.00
Match total
22.10
Shots
15.10N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.10
On target
2.90
10%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches69
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.9%78.3%+15.4 pp
Draw23.9%18.8%-5.1 pp
Away13.2%2.9%-10.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.526.1%
BTTS49.3%
Historical average
2.03–0.64
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-021.7%
2-117.4%
2-013.0%
1-18.7%
3-18.7%
Comparable corner averages
4.99–3.55
Average total8.54
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=69.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.5%
Over 9.536.2%
Over 10.529.0%
Over 11.513.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT73.3%48.0%–89.1% CI
Draw FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals20.0%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home80.0%
Away26.7%