Serie A · 2023/24
2024-03-17 · 11:30
11.5262.9%
X3.9923.9%
27.2413.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Juventus
WWDWWWDLWD
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Genoa
LLLLWDWDDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.30
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.20
Against
5.10
8.60
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.30
Total goals
2.20
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Juventus attack

1.50goals per match
Genoa conceded1.30
Matchup

Genoa attack

0.90goals per match
Juventus conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.20
Corners against
5.10
8.60
Match total
8.70
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.50
Match total
5.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
22.00
Match total
22.10

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.10
On target
2.90
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches69
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.9%78.3%+15.4 pp
Draw23.9%18.8%-5.1 pp
Away13.2%2.9%-10.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.9%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.526.1%
BTTS49.3%

Historical average

2.030.64

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-021.7%
2-117.4%
2-013.0%
1-18.7%
3-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.993.55
Average total8.54

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=69.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.556.5%
Over 9.536.2%
Over 10.529.0%
Over 11.513.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT73.3%48.0%–89.1% CI
Draw FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.33

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals20.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away26.7%