Serie A · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 19:45
13.3728.4%
X3.5127.3%
22.1644.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Frosinone
WWWDLLWLLD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Lazio
WLLDWWLWWL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.50
1.60
Conceded
1.10
80%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.00
2.00
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
5.70N=10
4.30
Against
5.70
10.60
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded
1.10
3.10
Total goals
2.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Frosinone attack

1.50goals per match
Lazio conceded1.10
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.50goals per match
Frosinone conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
5.70N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.70
10.60
Match total
11.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.90
Match total
5.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

9.30N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
23.00
Match total
23.40

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
5.00
On target
3.40
11%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches344
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.4%27.0%-1.4 pp
Draw27.3%28.8%+1.5 pp
Away44.3%44.2%-0.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.528.5%
BTTS58.4%

Historical average

1.191.53

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.1%
1-211.0%
0-27.8%
0-17.6%
0-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.625.12
Average total9.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=344.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.6%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches101
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.8%12.4%–27.5% CI
Draw FT41.6%32.5%–51.3% CI
Away FT39.6%30.6%–49.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.3%
2+ goals50.5%
3+ goals19.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.6%
Away62.4%