Serie A · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 17:00
12.9532.4%
X3.2029.9%
22.5337.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Salernitana
DLWLDLLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Lecce
LDDLLLLLLD
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.60
2.00
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
40%
80%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.70
2.10
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.40N=10
6.30
Against
6.40
11.70
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.60
2.00
Goals conceded
1.80
3.10
Total goals
2.40
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Salernitana attack

1.10goals per match
Lecce conceded1.80
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.60goals per match
Salernitana conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
1.30
2H goals conceded
1.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
6.30
Corners against
6.40
11.70
Match total
10.80
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.70N=10
5.70
Match total
4.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
24.90
Match total
26.70

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
13.20N=10
3.90
On target
4.00
9%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches468
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home32.4%29.1%-3.3 pp
Draw29.9%30.1%+0.3 pp
Away37.8%40.8%+3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.545.7%
Over 3.522.2%
BTTS51.3%

Historical average

1.091.30

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.5%
0-113.0%
0-011.1%
1-29.2%
2-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.815.03
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=468.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.6%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.529.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches160
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.3%20.0%–33.6% CI
Draw FT44.4%36.9%–52.1% CI
Away FT29.4%22.9%–36.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal67.5%
2+ goals33.8%
3+ goals13.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.1%
Away48.1%