Serie A · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 14:00
12.0746.2%
X3.4627.6%
23.6626.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monza
DDLWLLWDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Cagliari
DLLLLDLLDW
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.80
1.60
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.70
1.70
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.20
Against
7.40
8.10
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
1.60
Goals conceded
1.80
2.70
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Monza attack

1.10goals per match
Cagliari conceded1.80
Matchup

Cagliari attack

0.80goals per match
Monza conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.60
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.30
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.20
Corners against
7.40
8.10
Match total
11.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.10
Match total
4.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
24.30
Match total
24.70

Shots

11.10N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
3.00
On target
3.10
10%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches482
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.2%45.0%-1.2 pp
Draw27.6%30.3%+2.6 pp
Away26.1%24.7%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.548.3%
Over 3.523.7%
BTTS52.7%

Historical average

1.471.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.1%
1-010.8%
2-110.6%
0-18.7%
2-07.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.434.67
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=482.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches166
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT37.3%30.4%–44.9% CI
Draw FT36.7%29.8%–44.3% CI
Away FT25.9%19.8%–33.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.42

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.9%
2+ goals41.0%
3+ goals16.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.4%
Away50.0%