Serie A · 2023/24
2024-03-15 · 19:45
14.0223.8%
X3.2429.5%
22.0546.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Empoli
DLLDLLWDDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Bologna
DDLDWLLDWW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.40
1.50
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.70
1.10
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.40
Against
5.10
10.60
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.40
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
2.30
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Empoli attack

0.80goals per match
Bologna conceded1.60
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.40goals per match
Empoli conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.90
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.40
Corners against
5.10
10.60
Match total
8.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.20
Match total
5.80
70%7/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
26.40
Match total
25.60

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
11.10N=10
4.50
On target
4.30
6%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches98
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home23.8%25.5%+1.7 pp
Draw29.5%30.6%+1.1 pp
Away46.7%43.9%-2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.558.2%
Over 2.528.6%
Over 3.511.2%
BTTS38.8%

Historical average

0.791.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-119.4%
1-116.3%
0-012.2%
1-010.2%
0-28.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.125.13
Average total9.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=98.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.1%
Over 9.546.9%
Over 10.538.8%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches44
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%16.3%–41.8% CI
Draw FT36.4%23.8%–51.1% CI
Away FT36.4%23.8%–51.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals27.3%
3+ goals9.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.6%
Away47.7%