Serie A · 2023/24
2024-03-11 · 19:45
11.9449.2%
X3.4028.1%
24.1922.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lazio
WWDWLWWDLL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Udinese
DDWLLDDLWL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.70
0.80
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
1.10
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
3.40N=10
3.90
Against
7.10
8.10
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.70
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
1.80
Total goals
2.20
40%4/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.00goals per match
Udinese conceded1.50
Matchup

Udinese attack

0.70goals per match
Lazio conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.90
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.90
Corners against
7.10
8.10
Match total
10.50
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.40
Match total
3.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
25.50
Match total
23.50

Shots

10.70N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
3.70
On target
2.60
9%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches700
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home49.2%51.1%+2.0 pp
Draw28.1%28.1%+0.1 pp
Away22.8%20.7%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.4%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.522.1%
BTTS49.1%

Historical average

1.490.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.4%
1-012.3%
2-111.3%
2-010.9%
0-09.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.753.91
Average total9.66

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=699.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.2%
Over 9.547.6%
Over 10.538.3%
Over 11.526.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches228
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.9%33.8%–46.4% CI
Draw FT39.9%33.8%–46.4% CI
Away FT20.2%15.5%–25.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.5%
2+ goals37.3%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.9%
Away40.8%