Serie A · 2022/23
2023-06-04 · 20:00
11.9948.0%
X3.6126.5%
23.7425.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Roma
WWWWLWWDLD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Spezia
WLDDLDDLLD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.10N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.40
Against
6.10
10.50
Total
11.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
2.70
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Roma attack
1.80goals per matchSpezia conceded1.40Matchup
Spezia attack
0.90goals per matchRoma conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.10
10.50
Match total
11.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.20
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.70N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
25.00
Match total
24.70
Shots
14.20N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.10
On target
3.70
13%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches569
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.0%45.5%-2.5 pp
Draw26.5%27.4%+1.0 pp
Away25.5%27.1%+1.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.523.6%
BTTS50.8%
Historical average
1.49–1.06
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.4%
1-012.0%
2-19.0%
0-18.4%
1-27.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.59–4.46
Average total10.06
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=569.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.531.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches196
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.8%33.2%–46.8% CI
Draw FT35.2%28.9%–42.1% CI
Away FT25.0%19.5%–31.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.1%
2+ goals40.3%
3+ goals15.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home56.1%
Away46.9%