Serie A · 2022/23
2023-06-04 · 20:00
11.9948.0%
X3.6126.5%
23.7425.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Roma
WWWWLWWDLD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Spezia
WLDDLDDLLD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.90
0.90
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
30%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
4.90N=10
4.40
Against
6.10
10.50
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.90
0.90
Goals conceded
1.40
2.70
Total goals
2.30
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Roma attack

1.80goals per match
Spezia conceded1.40
Matchup

Spezia attack

0.90goals per match
Roma conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
4.40
Corners against
6.10
10.50
Match total
11.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.20
Match total
4.10
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
25.00
Match total
24.70

Shots

14.20N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.10
On target
3.70
13%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches569
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.0%45.5%-2.5 pp
Draw26.5%27.4%+1.0 pp
Away25.5%27.1%+1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.4%
Over 2.547.3%
Over 3.523.6%
BTTS50.8%

Historical average

1.491.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.4%
1-012.0%
2-19.0%
0-18.4%
1-27.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.594.46
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=569.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.541.3%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches196
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT39.8%33.2%–46.8% CI
Draw FT35.2%28.9%–42.1% CI
Away FT25.0%19.5%–31.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.1%
2+ goals40.3%
3+ goals15.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.1%
Away46.9%