Serie A · 2022/23
2023-06-04 · 20:00
12.7634.6%
X3.3728.4%
22.5837.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
DLDLLLDWLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Bologna
WWWLDWLLDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.80
1.20
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.50
0.80
2H goals
1.60
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.70N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.80
Against
3.90
10.50
Total
8.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.80
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
1.90
Total goals
3.10
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.70goals per match
Bologna conceded1.30
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.80goals per match
Lecce conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.20
2H goals scored
1.10
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.80
Corners against
3.90
10.50
Match total
8.10
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.00N=10
5.00
Match total
3.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.70N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
27.40
Match total
24.10

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
13.80N=10
3.20
On target
4.50
5%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches514
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.6%33.5%-1.2 pp
Draw28.4%26.3%-2.1 pp
Away37.0%40.3%+3.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.549.0%
Over 3.525.5%
BTTS55.1%

Historical average

1.241.35

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.8%
0-111.9%
1-09.9%
1-29.1%
2-18.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.195.04
Average total10.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=514.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.1%
Over 9.555.1%
Over 10.545.9%
Over 11.534.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches162
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT30.9%24.3%–38.4% CI
Draw FT33.3%26.5%–40.9% CI
Away FT35.8%28.8%–43.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.46

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.6%
2+ goals40.7%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.5%
Away58.6%