Serie A · 2022/23
2023-06-04 · 20:00
11.5959.9%
X4.3921.7%
25.1918.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Atalanta
WWLDWLWWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Monza
WWWLDDWWDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.40
1H goals
0.80
2.10
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
2.50
Against
5.20
10.20
Total
7.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.00
3.50
Total goals
2.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Atalanta attack

2.20goals per match
Monza conceded1.00
Matchup

Monza attack

1.50goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.70N=10
Corners for
2.40N=10
2.50
Corners against
5.20
10.20
Match total
7.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.80
Match total
4.20
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
22.10
Match total
26.40

Shots

17.70N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
6.10
On target
4.00
12%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches104
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.9%63.5%+3.5 pp
Draw21.7%11.5%-10.2 pp
Away18.4%25.0%+6.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.533.7%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

2.111.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-011.5%
2-110.6%
1-29.6%
3-08.7%
1-08.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.203.85
Average total10.05

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=104.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.555.8%
Over 10.543.3%
Over 11.528.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT71.4%50.0%–86.2% CI
Draw FT9.5%2.7%–28.9% CI
Away FT19.0%7.7%–40.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.76

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.5%
2+ goals47.6%
3+ goals28.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.2%
Away28.6%