Serie A · 2022/23
2023-06-04 · 20:00
11.5959.9%
X4.3921.7%
25.1918.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Atalanta
WWLDWLWWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Monza
WWWLDDWWDW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Goals
2.20
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
1.00
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.80
2.10
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
2.50
Against
5.20
10.20
Total
7.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.00
3.50
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Atalanta attack
2.20goals per matchMonza conceded1.00Matchup
Monza attack
1.50goals per matchAtalanta conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.70N=10
Corners for
2.40N=10
2.50
Corners against
5.20
10.20
Match total
7.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.80
Match total
4.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.10N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
22.10
Match total
26.40
Shots
17.70N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
6.10
On target
4.00
12%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches104
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.9%63.5%+3.5 pp
Draw21.7%11.5%-10.2 pp
Away18.4%25.0%+6.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.564.4%
Over 3.533.7%
BTTS53.8%
Historical average
2.11–1.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-011.5%
2-110.6%
1-29.6%
3-08.7%
1-08.7%
Comparable corner averages
6.20–3.85
Average total10.05
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=104.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.555.8%
Over 10.543.3%
Over 11.528.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT71.4%50.0%–86.2% CI
Draw FT9.5%2.7%–28.9% CI
Away FT19.0%7.7%–40.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.76
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.5%
2+ goals47.6%
3+ goals28.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home76.2%
Away28.6%