Serie A · 2022/23
2023-06-04 · 17:30
11.1980.3%
X7.4112.9%
213.986.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
WWWLWLDDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Sampdoria
LLDLLLDLLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
0.60
0.90
Conceded
2.60
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.50
1.90
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.70
Against
8.40
9.70
Total
11.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.60
0.90
Goals conceded
2.60
2.60
Total goals
3.20
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.70goals per match
Sampdoria conceded2.60
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

0.60goals per match
Napoli conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.10
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.70
Corners against
8.40
9.70
Match total
11.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
3.00N=10
2.80
Match total
4.90
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
22.10
Match total
24.70

Shots

15.70N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
5.90
On target
3.50
11%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches53
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.3%79.2%-1.0 pp
Draw12.9%13.2%+0.3 pp
Away6.8%7.5%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.6%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.547.2%
BTTS49.1%

Historical average

2.750.77

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-017.0%
2-111.3%
4-09.4%
1-07.5%
2-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

7.912.72
Average total10.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=53.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.8%
Over 9.558.5%
Over 10.547.2%
Over 11.539.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.3%33.2%–76.9% CI
Draw FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Away FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.8%
2+ goals56.3%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home81.3%
Away37.5%