Serie A · 2022/23
2023-06-04 · 17:30
11.1980.3%
X7.4112.9%
213.986.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Napoli
WWWLWLDDWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Sampdoria
LLDLLLDLLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
0.60
0.90
Conceded
2.60
50%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
40%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.50
1.90
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.70
Against
8.40
9.70
Total
11.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.60
0.90
Goals conceded
2.60
2.60
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Napoli attack
1.70goals per matchSampdoria conceded2.60Matchup
Sampdoria attack
0.60goals per matchNapoli conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.70
Corners against
8.40
9.70
Match total
11.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
0.90N=10
For
3.00N=10
2.80
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.70N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
22.10
Match total
24.70
Shots
15.70N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
5.90
On target
3.50
11%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches53
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.3%79.2%-1.0 pp
Draw12.9%13.2%+0.3 pp
Away6.8%7.5%+0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.590.6%
Over 2.566.0%
Over 3.547.2%
BTTS49.1%
Historical average
2.75–0.77
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-017.0%
2-111.3%
4-09.4%
1-07.5%
2-27.5%
Comparable corner averages
7.91–2.72
Average total10.62
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=53.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.8%
Over 9.558.5%
Over 10.547.2%
Over 11.539.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.3%33.2%–76.9% CI
Draw FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Away FT12.5%3.5%–36.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.69
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal93.8%
2+ goals56.3%
3+ goals18.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home81.3%
Away37.5%