Serie A · 2022/23
2023-06-03 · 20:00
13.4128.0%
X3.6626.1%
22.0845.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Empoli
WDDLLWLWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Lazio
WDWWDWWLLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.30
1.30
Conceded
0.60
60%
Over 2.5
20%
50%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.70
1.80
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.60
Against
4.90
10.70
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded
0.60
2.80
Total goals
1.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Empoli attack

1.50goals per match
Lazio conceded0.60
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.30goals per match
Empoli conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.60
Corners against
4.90
10.70
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.60
Match total
5.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
9.10N=10
26.10
Match total
22.10

Shots

14.10N=10
Shots
10.40N=10
4.60
On target
3.60
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches139
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.0%28.8%+0.8 pp
Draw26.1%20.9%-5.2 pp
Away45.9%50.4%+4.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.3%
Over 2.564.7%
Over 3.542.4%
BTTS63.3%

Historical average

1.401.86

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-28.6%
2-17.9%
1-37.9%
1-17.2%
0-07.2%

Comparable corner averages

4.475.21
Average total9.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=139.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.9%
Over 9.551.1%
Over 10.541.7%
Over 11.528.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.5%14.6%–43.1% CI
Draw FT38.2%23.9%–55.0% CI
Away FT35.3%21.5%–52.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals23.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.0%
Away52.9%