Serie A · 2022/23
2023-06-02 · 19:30
12.5637.4%
X3.7725.4%
22.5837.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sassuolo
LWLWWDWWDL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Fiorentina
LDLWWWLDLD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.20
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.10
Against
3.80
10.10
Total
8.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.20
2.20
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.10goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.20
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.30goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.10
Corners against
3.80
10.10
Match total
8.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.70N=10
4.00
Match total
5.00
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
22.80
Match total
26.50

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
12.50N=10
4.30
On target
3.60
9%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches27
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.4%37.0%-0.4 pp
Draw25.4%18.5%-6.9 pp
Away37.1%44.4%+7.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.592.6%
Over 2.577.8%
Over 3.555.6%
BTTS70.4%

Historical average

1.811.78

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-214.8%
2-214.8%
2-011.1%
3-111.1%
1-47.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.155.85
Average total11.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=27.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.4%
Over 9.563.0%
Over 10.551.9%
Over 11.551.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Draw FT0.0%0.0%–27.8% CI
Away FT90.0%59.6%–98.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.10

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals40.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away90.0%