Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-28 · 19:45
12.3640.5%
X3.3728.3%
23.0631.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Juventus
WDLWWWWLWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Milan
DLLWLLWDDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.30
Against
6.40
10.50
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
2.90
Total goals
2.70
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Juventus attack

1.80goals per match
Milan conceded1.60
Matchup

Milan attack

1.10goals per match
Juventus conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.40
10.50
Match total
11.00
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.30
Match total
4.80
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
23.50
Match total
24.70

Shots

15.20N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
5.40
On target
4.50
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches837
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.5%42.2%+1.7 pp
Draw28.3%28.9%+0.6 pp
Away31.2%28.9%-2.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.522.8%
BTTS48.5%

Historical average

1.321.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.9%
1-011.7%
2-19.7%
0-19.3%
0-09.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.184.60
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=836.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.528.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches288
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.6%26.5%–37.2% CI
Draw FT38.9%33.4%–44.6% CI
Away FT29.5%24.5%–35.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.0%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals14.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.7%
Away48.3%