Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-28 · 19:45
12.3640.5%
X3.3728.3%
23.0631.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Juventus
WDLWWWWLWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Milan
DLLWLLWDDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
1.60
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.20N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.30
Against
6.40
10.50
Total
11.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
2.90
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Juventus attack
1.80goals per matchMilan conceded1.60Matchup
Milan attack
1.10goals per matchJuventus conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.50
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.40
10.50
Match total
11.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.30
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.80N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
23.50
Match total
24.70
Shots
15.20N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
5.40
On target
4.50
12%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches837
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.5%42.2%+1.7 pp
Draw28.3%28.9%+0.6 pp
Away31.2%28.9%-2.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.0%
Over 2.542.5%
Over 3.522.8%
BTTS48.5%
Historical average
1.32–1.08
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.9%
1-011.7%
2-19.7%
0-19.3%
0-09.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.18–4.60
Average total9.77
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=836.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.551.6%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.528.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches288
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.6%26.5%–37.2% CI
Draw FT38.9%33.4%–44.6% CI
Away FT29.5%24.5%–35.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal74.0%
2+ goals38.5%
3+ goals14.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home49.7%
Away48.3%