Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-28 · 17:00
11.2377.9%
X6.4814.8%
213.007.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lazio
DWDLWWWLWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Cremonese
LDLDLDWLDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
2.00
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.30
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.20N=10
3.80
Against
5.60
8.40
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
2.00
2.40
Total goals
3.00
70%7/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.50goals per match
Cremonese conceded2.00
Matchup

Cremonese attack

1.00goals per match
Lazio conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.60
8.40
Match total
8.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.70
Match total
4.80
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
10.70N=10
26.30
Match total
22.70

Shots

13.30N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.40
On target
2.80
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches65
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home77.9%78.5%+0.6 pp
Draw14.8%12.3%-2.5 pp
Away7.4%9.2%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.7%
Over 2.566.2%
Over 3.544.6%
BTTS47.7%

Historical average

2.600.72

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-013.8%
3-113.8%
3-010.8%
4-09.2%
2-19.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.753.62
Average total10.37

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=65.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.8%
Over 9.558.5%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.533.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.64

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.8%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals18.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away54.5%