Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-28 · 14:00
12.4838.4%
X3.1929.9%
23.0031.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monza
DDDLWDLWDW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Lecce
DLWWLLLLLD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.70
1.30
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.00
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.60
Against
4.20
11.00
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.70
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
2.70
Total goals
2.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Monza attack

1.40goals per match
Lecce conceded1.30
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.70goals per match
Monza conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.20
11.00
Match total
8.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
1.80N=10
5.40
Match total
3.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.00N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
27.30
Match total
24.70

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.30
On target
2.90
11%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches494
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.4%39.5%+1.1 pp
Draw29.9%32.4%+2.5 pp
Away31.7%28.1%-3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.564.8%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.518.4%
BTTS49.2%

Historical average

1.171.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
1-013.2%
0-012.8%
2-110.3%
0-19.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.094.38
Average total9.46

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=494.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.9%
Over 9.546.8%
Over 10.537.2%
Over 11.526.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches189
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.2%25.0%–38.1% CI
Draw FT47.6%40.6%–54.7% CI
Away FT21.2%15.9%–27.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals33.9%
3+ goals13.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home49.7%
Away40.2%