Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-28 · 14:00
13.3928.1%
X3.4128.0%
22.1743.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bologna
LDWLWDWDDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Napoli
WWWWWWWWDL
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
1.90
0.60
Conceded
0.40
20%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.10
0.80
2H goals
1.20
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.30N=10
For
6.10N=10
4.00
Against
3.40
7.30
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.90
0.60
Goals conceded
0.40
1.60
Total goals
2.30
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.00goals per match
Napoli conceded0.40
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.90goals per match
Bologna conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.20
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.30N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
4.00
Corners against
3.40
7.30
Match total
9.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.30N=10
4.50
Match total
3.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
25.20
Match total
26.10

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
4.20
On target
5.30
7%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches409
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.1%25.7%-2.4 pp
Draw28.0%25.7%-2.3 pp
Away43.9%48.7%+4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.1%
Over 2.552.3%
Over 3.526.2%
BTTS55.7%

Historical average

1.091.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-212.5%
1-112.2%
0-110.3%
1-08.8%
0-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

4.675.03
Average total9.69

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=409.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.3%
Over 9.552.6%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.528.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches127
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.6%17.1%–31.7% CI
Draw FT37.8%29.8%–46.5% CI
Away FT38.6%30.6%–47.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.8%
2+ goals45.7%
3+ goals23.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.3%
Away61.4%