Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-28 · 11:30
11.6956.4%
X3.9024.4%
24.9819.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Verona
WWDWLDWWLL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Empoli
DWLDLLDLLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.20
Against
6.60
8.50
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Verona attack

1.10goals per match
Empoli conceded1.30
Matchup

Empoli attack

0.80goals per match
Verona conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.20
Corners against
6.60
8.50
Match total
10.50
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.60
Match total
4.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
26.00
Match total
24.10

Shots

11.00N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
3.60
On target
2.70
10%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches402
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.4%57.2%+0.8 pp
Draw24.4%24.1%-0.3 pp
Away19.1%18.7%-0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.549.3%
Over 3.527.1%
BTTS50.5%

Historical average

1.730.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.2%
2-010.9%
1-110.9%
2-110.7%
0-07.2%

Comparable corner averages

6.213.87
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=402.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.7%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.543.0%
Over 11.533.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches122
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.1%36.5%–53.9% CI
Draw FT38.5%30.4%–47.4% CI
Away FT16.4%10.9%–24.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.2%
2+ goals43.4%
3+ goals13.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.5%
Away39.3%