Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-27 · 19:45
11.8551.6%
X3.8125.0%
24.0823.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Inter
WLWWWLLLWW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Atalanta
WDLWLLWDWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.30
0.80
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.10
Against
4.40
8.70
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.30
0.80
Goals conceded
1.30
2.20
Total goals
2.60
40%4/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
30%3/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Inter attack

1.40goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.30
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.30goals per match
Inter conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.10
Corners against
4.40
8.70
Match total
8.20
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.70
Match total
4.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
23.30
Match total
23.60

Shots

17.00N=10
Shots
10.00N=10
4.30
On target
3.50
8%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches97
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.6%60.8%+9.3 pp
Draw25.0%21.6%-3.4 pp
Away23.4%17.5%-5.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.6%
Over 2.563.9%
Over 3.535.1%
BTTS57.7%

Historical average

2.061.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.4%
2-111.3%
2-09.3%
3-08.2%
1-07.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.653.84
Average total9.48

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=97.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.8%
Over 9.545.4%
Over 10.536.1%
Over 11.525.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.0%34.2%–74.2% CI
Draw FT25.0%11.2%–46.9% CI
Away FT20.0%8.1%–41.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.95

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals65.0%
3+ goals35.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away55.0%