Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-27 · 17:00
12.0746.2%
X3.4028.1%
23.7125.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
WLLDWWDDWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Roma
DWLDLLWLDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.00
0.80
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.00
1.40
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.80N=10
For
4.10N=10
2.60
Against
3.80
9.40
Total
7.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.00
0.80
Goals conceded
1.20
2.40
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.60goals per match
Roma conceded1.20
Matchup

Roma attack

1.00goals per match
Fiorentina conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.80N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
2.60
Corners against
3.80
9.40
Match total
7.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
5.30
Match total
5.40
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
29.90
Match total
26.60

Shots

19.00N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
5.50
On target
3.20
8%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches272
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home46.2%44.9%-1.3 pp
Draw28.1%30.5%+2.4 pp
Away25.8%24.6%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.2%
Over 2.545.2%
Over 3.523.5%
BTTS52.6%

Historical average

1.411.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.0%
1-011.4%
0-010.7%
2-110.7%
0-17.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.304.28
Average total9.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=272.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.548.9%
Over 10.537.5%
Over 11.528.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches101
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.7%23.4%–41.3% CI
Draw FT45.5%36.2%–55.2% CI
Away FT22.8%15.7%–31.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.3%
2+ goals40.6%
3+ goals13.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.5%
Away45.5%