Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-27 · 14:00
12.4039.8%
X3.2429.5%
23.1130.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Spezia
DLLLDWDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Torino
DWDLLWDWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
1.30
1.40
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
20%
20%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.50
1H goals
1.30
1.40
2H goals
0.90
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.50
Against
4.50
10.40
Total
9.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded
0.90
1.90
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Spezia attack

0.50goals per match
Torino conceded0.90
Matchup

Torino attack

1.30goals per match
Spezia conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.00
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.50
Corners against
4.50
10.40
Match total
9.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.30
Match total
4.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
23.90
Match total
25.50

Shots

11.50N=10
Shots
12.20N=10
3.10
On target
3.90
4%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches847
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.8%38.5%-1.3 pp
Draw29.5%32.3%+2.9 pp
Away30.7%29.2%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.8%
Over 2.538.3%
Over 3.520.8%
BTTS48.2%

Historical average

1.201.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.1%
1-012.0%
0-011.2%
0-19.9%
2-18.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.094.50
Average total9.59

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=847.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.0%
Over 9.549.7%
Over 10.537.0%
Over 11.526.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches309
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitystrong
Home FT26.2%21.6%–31.4% CI
Draw FT46.6%41.1%–52.2% CI
Away FT27.2%22.5%–32.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.3%
2+ goals36.9%
3+ goals12.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.6%
Away46.6%