Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-21 · 19:45
13.7425.6%
X3.5427.0%
22.0247.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Udinese
DLDDDWDWDW
3W 6D 1L · 1.50 PPM
Lazio
LWDWWDWWLL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.30
1.20
Conceded
0.80
60%
Over 2.5
30%
80%
BTTS
30%

By half

2.00
1H goals
0.80
1.00
2H goals
1.30
60%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.50
Against
5.00
10.90
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded
0.80
3.00
Total goals
2.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
80%8/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Udinese attack

1.80goals per match
Lazio conceded0.80
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.30goals per match
Udinese conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.50
Corners against
5.00
10.90
Match total
8.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.10
Match total
5.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
100%10/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
26.00
Match total
22.60

Shots

16.40N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
5.70
On target
3.40
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches262
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home25.6%22.9%-2.7 pp
Draw27.0%29.0%+2.0 pp
Away47.4%48.1%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.549.6%
Over 3.526.0%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

1.051.61

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.1%
1-211.1%
0-111.1%
0-27.6%
2-17.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.505.47
Average total9.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=262.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.539.3%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches69
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT21.7%13.6%–32.8% CI
Draw FT39.1%28.5%–50.9% CI
Away FT39.1%28.5%–50.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.5%
2+ goals37.7%
3+ goals14.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home37.7%
Away56.5%