Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-21 · 17:00
12.8333.9%
X3.3129.0%
22.5837.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
WWWWLWLDDW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Inter
WDWDLLDWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
2.00
1.00
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.10N=10
For
7.30N=10
3.90
Against
3.60
10.00
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
2.00
1.00
Goals conceded
0.90
2.70
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.70goals per match
Inter conceded0.90
Matchup

Inter attack

2.00goals per match
Napoli conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.30
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.10
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.10N=10
Corners for
7.30N=10
3.90
Corners against
3.60
10.00
Match total
10.90
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.00
Match total
2.90
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
22.20
Match total
21.70

Shots

15.00N=10
Shots
19.20N=10
5.50
On target
6.10
11%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches500
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.9%32.4%-1.5 pp
Draw29.0%26.6%-2.4 pp
Away37.2%41.0%+3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.8%
Over 2.547.2%
Over 3.525.8%
BTTS53.0%

Historical average

1.191.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.8%
0-110.8%
1-09.8%
2-18.2%
1-27.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.155.00
Average total10.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=500.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.4%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.533.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches159
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.4%20.2%–33.8% CI
Draw FT37.1%30.0%–44.8% CI
Away FT36.5%29.4%–44.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.1%
2+ goals39.0%
3+ goals13.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.4%
Away55.3%