Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-21 · 14:00
12.0147.7%
X3.4028.2%
23.9824.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Torino
DLWDWLLDLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Fiorentina
LLDLWWWLDL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.30
1.30
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.40
1.20
2H goals
1.20
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
5.30N=10
3.10
Against
4.00
8.40
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
2.10
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Torino attack

0.80goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.30
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.30goals per match
Torino conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
0.70
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.30N=10
3.10
Corners against
4.00
8.40
Match total
9.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.00
Match total
5.20
40%4/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.10N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
22.30
Match total
26.90

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
12.80N=10
3.80
On target
4.00
7%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches703
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home47.7%47.5%-0.2 pp
Draw28.2%28.6%+0.4 pp
Away24.1%23.9%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.543.4%
Over 3.523.0%
BTTS49.8%

Historical average

1.450.96

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.1%
1-011.7%
2-110.4%
0-09.7%
0-19.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.604.13
Average total9.73

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=703.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.3%
Over 9.549.4%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.529.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches215
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.5%27.5%–40.0% CI
Draw FT42.3%35.9%–49.0% CI
Away FT24.2%18.9%–30.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.15

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.4%
2+ goals32.6%
3+ goals9.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.4%
Away38.6%