Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-21 · 11:30
12.2143.3%
X3.2129.8%
23.5726.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lecce
WDLDLLLDWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Spezia
WWLDDLDDLL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.00
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.90N=10
For
5.40N=10
4.60
Against
6.10
10.50
Total
11.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.50
2.20
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.90goals per match
Spezia conceded1.50
Matchup

Spezia attack

1.10goals per match
Lecce conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
5.40N=10
4.60
Corners against
6.10
10.50
Match total
11.50
70%7/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.00
Match total
4.20
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

15.80N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
27.20
Match total
25.00

Shots

15.10N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
3.50
On target
4.60
6%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches746
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.3%43.3%-0.0 pp
Draw29.8%32.4%+2.6 pp
Away26.8%24.3%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.520.8%
BTTS49.9%

Historical average

1.330.98

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.9%
1-012.9%
0-09.9%
2-09.8%
2-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.144.16
Average total9.29

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=745.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.7%
Over 9.543.9%
Over 10.531.1%
Over 11.524.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches271
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.2%30.7%–42.0% CI
Draw FT43.9%38.1%–49.9% CI
Away FT19.9%15.6%–25.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.7%
2+ goals40.2%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.7%
Away41.7%