Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-20 · 19:45
11.1980.6%
X7.1113.5%
216.305.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Milan
WDLWWDDWDW
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Sampdoria
WLLDLLLDLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.70
1.00
Conceded
2.20
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.10N=10
3.50
Against
8.60
8.70
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.70
1.00
Goals conceded
2.20
2.50
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Milan attack

1.50goals per match
Sampdoria conceded2.20
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

0.70goals per match
Milan conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.10N=10
3.50
Corners against
8.60
8.70
Match total
11.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
10%1/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.60
Match total
5.00
80%8/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
23.40
Match total
26.30

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
4.10
On target
3.60
11%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches58
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home80.6%87.9%+7.3 pp
Draw13.5%8.6%-4.9 pp
Away5.9%3.4%-2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.555.2%
Over 3.529.3%
BTTS32.8%

Historical average

2.570.41

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-020.7%
1-013.8%
3-013.8%
2-110.3%
4-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

7.592.36
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=58.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.1%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.531.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT82.4%59.0%–93.8% CI
Draw FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI
Away FT5.9%1.0%–27.0% CI

Remaining goals

2.18

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.2%
2+ goals76.5%
3+ goals41.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home82.4%
Away23.5%