Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-19 · 19:45
12.1943.8%
X3.6426.4%
23.2229.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sassuolo
LLWLWWDWWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Monza
DWWWLDDWWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.40
1.10
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
30%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.80
1.10
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.90
Against
5.50
10.20
Total
7.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded
1.00
2.20
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.10goals per match
Monza conceded1.00
Matchup

Monza attack

1.40goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
2.20N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.50
10.20
Match total
7.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
0%0/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.80
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
13.10N=10
23.60
Match total
26.10

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
4.30
On target
3.80
9%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches275
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.8%44.0%+0.2 pp
Draw26.4%30.9%+4.5 pp
Away29.8%25.1%-4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.532.0%
BTTS50.9%

Historical average

1.521.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.3%
1-010.9%
0-010.5%
2-18.0%
2-27.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.424.43
Average total9.86

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=274.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.539.8%
Over 11.532.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches82
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.0%29.2%–49.8% CI
Draw FT47.6%37.1%–58.2% CI
Away FT13.4%7.7%–22.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal64.6%
2+ goals35.4%
3+ goals12.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.2%
Away31.7%