Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-15 · 19:45
13.2229.7%
X3.4527.7%
22.2442.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sampdoria
LLLDLDWLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Empoli
DDWLDLLDLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
0.80
1.40
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
3.80N=10
5.50
Against
7.30
9.70
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
0.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.30
2.10
Total goals
2.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Sampdoria attack

0.70goals per match
Empoli conceded1.30
Matchup

Empoli attack

0.80goals per match
Sampdoria conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
5.50
Corners against
7.30
9.70
Match total
11.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.60
Match total
4.40
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

13.40N=10
Committed
12.20N=10
26.70
Match total
24.00

Shots

9.80N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
3.00
On target
2.40
7%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches434
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.7%26.5%-3.2 pp
Draw27.7%25.8%-1.9 pp
Away42.6%47.7%+5.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.549.1%
Over 3.527.2%
BTTS55.1%

Historical average

1.121.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.4%
1-211.5%
0-19.9%
1-08.3%
0-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

4.915.03
Average total9.93

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=434.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.4%
Over 9.555.5%
Over 10.541.5%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches124
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%18.2%–33.3% CI
Draw FT37.9%29.8%–46.7% CI
Away FT37.1%29.1%–45.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.4%
2+ goals43.5%
3+ goals21.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home42.7%
Away56.5%