Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-14 · 17:00
13.1630.2%
X3.1130.7%
22.4539.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bologna
WLDWLWDWDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Roma
DDWLDLLWLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.10
0.60
Conceded
1.30
30%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.00
1.00
2H goals
1.40
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.00
Against
3.80
7.40
Total
7.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.10
0.60
Goals conceded
1.30
1.90
Total goals
2.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
0%0/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.30goals per match
Roma conceded1.30
Matchup

Roma attack

1.10goals per match
Bologna conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
3.80
7.40
Match total
7.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.30
Match total
5.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

12.10N=10
Committed
11.30N=10
24.70
Match total
26.50

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
4.30
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches196
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home30.2%27.0%-3.2 pp
Draw30.7%35.2%+4.5 pp
Away39.0%37.8%-1.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.535.7%
Over 3.519.9%
BTTS48.5%

Historical average

1.031.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.8%
0-112.8%
0-011.7%
1-011.7%
1-28.7%

Comparable corner averages

4.425.08
Average total9.49

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=196.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.7%
Over 9.546.9%
Over 10.535.7%
Over 11.527.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches74
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.7%17.1%–36.7% CI
Draw FT47.3%36.3%–58.5% CI
Away FT27.0%18.2%–38.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.11

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.9%
2+ goals33.8%
3+ goals8.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.9%
Away44.6%