Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-14 · 14:00
14.8519.7%
X3.8325.0%
21.7355.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Monza
WDDDLWDLWD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Napoli
LWWWWWWWWD
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.90
1.30
Conceded
0.30
50%
Over 2.5
30%
70%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.00
1.10
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
5.50N=10
3.70
Against
3.30
10.10
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.90
1.30
Goals conceded
0.30
2.80
Total goals
2.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Monza attack

1.50goals per match
Napoli conceded0.30
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.90goals per match
Monza conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.90
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
60%6/10
0.70
2H goals scored
1.00
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
3.70
Corners against
3.30
10.10
Match total
8.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
1.40N=10
5.40
Match total
3.70
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
26.90
Match total
25.60

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
4.60
On target
4.80
11%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches195
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.7%21.0%+1.3 pp
Draw25.0%24.6%-0.4 pp
Away55.3%54.4%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.551.8%
Over 3.531.3%
BTTS54.9%

Historical average

1.041.73

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-111.8%
1-111.8%
0-210.3%
1-28.7%
1-38.2%

Comparable corner averages

3.995.92
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=195.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.6%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.542.6%
Over 11.532.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches53
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.4%16.4%–39.6% CI
Draw FT28.3%18.0%–41.6% CI
Away FT45.3%32.7%–58.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.1%
2+ goals41.5%
3+ goals11.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.5%
Away60.4%