Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-14 · 14:00
11.9948.0%
X3.5726.7%
23.7825.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Fiorentina
DWLLDWWDDW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Udinese
LLWLLDWLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
0.50
0.90
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
20%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.70
1.40
2H goals
1.30
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.40N=10
For
4.70N=10
2.40
Against
6.40
9.80
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
0.50
0.90
Goals conceded
1.50
2.40
Total goals
2.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.50goals per match
Udinese conceded1.50
Matchup

Udinese attack

0.50goals per match
Fiorentina conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
40%4/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.40N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
2.40
Corners against
6.40
9.80
Match total
11.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.10
Match total
4.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
29.30
Match total
27.40

Shots

19.40N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
5.80
On target
3.10
8%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches526
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.0%44.7%-3.3 pp
Draw26.7%28.3%+1.6 pp
Away25.3%27.0%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.7%
Over 2.551.1%
Over 3.527.2%
BTTS54.8%

Historical average

1.561.12

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.9%
1-010.1%
2-19.1%
0-17.8%
1-27.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.664.35
Average total10.01

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=526.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.3%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches164
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.1%27.3%–41.7% CI
Draw FT39.6%32.5%–47.3% CI
Away FT26.2%20.1%–33.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.45

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.2%
2+ goals42.7%
3+ goals18.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.9%
Away49.4%