Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 19:45
11.4167.9%
X5.0718.9%
27.2513.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Inter
WWLWWWLLLW
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Sassuolo
LLDWDWWLLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.50
0.60
Conceded
2.00
20%
Over 2.5
70%
20%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.80
1.00
2H goals
1.70
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
5.20N=10
4.00
Against
5.20
9.00
Total
10.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.50
0.60
Goals conceded
2.00
1.70
Total goals
3.50
30%3/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Inter attack

1.10goals per match
Sassuolo conceded2.00
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.50goals per match
Inter conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
1.00
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.80
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.30
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.20
9.00
Match total
10.40
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.70
Match total
5.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

11.40N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
23.20
Match total
24.80

Shots

16.50N=10
Shots
12.10N=10
4.10
On target
3.80
7%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches112
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home67.9%69.6%+1.7 pp
Draw18.9%23.2%+4.3 pp
Away13.2%7.1%-6.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.539.3%
BTTS55.4%

Historical average

2.360.82

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.5%
3-09.8%
3-19.8%
1-18.9%
2-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.123.46
Average total9.58

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=112.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.4%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.525.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.0%26.7%–62.9% CI
Draw FT44.0%26.7%–62.9% CI
Away FT12.0%4.2%–30.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.0%
2+ goals44.0%
3+ goals24.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.0%
Away28.0%