Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 14:00
14.9019.5%
X4.1223.2%
21.6757.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Salernitana
LDLLLWDDWD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Atalanta
DWDLWLLWDW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.50
1.60
Conceded
1.40
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.70
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.70N=10
For
4.30N=10
5.10
Against
4.20
8.80
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.50
1.60
Goals conceded
1.40
3.00
Total goals
2.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Salernitana attack

1.40goals per match
Atalanta conceded1.40
Matchup

Atalanta attack

1.50goals per match
Salernitana conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.00
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.70N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
5.10
Corners against
4.20
8.80
Match total
8.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.40
Match total
4.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
26.10
Match total
23.10

Shots

9.70N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
3.00
On target
3.50
14%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches122
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.5%19.7%+0.2 pp
Draw23.2%16.4%-6.8 pp
Away57.3%63.9%+6.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.534.4%
BTTS53.3%

Historical average

0.931.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.3%
1-29.8%
1-39.0%
0-29.0%
0-38.2%

Comparable corner averages

3.865.44
Average total9.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=122.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.9%
Over 9.546.7%
Over 10.532.0%
Over 11.523.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches31
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.8%13.7%–43.2% CI
Draw FT16.1%7.1%–32.6% CI
Away FT58.1%40.8%–73.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.68

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.1%
2+ goals38.7%
3+ goals32.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.7%
Away74.2%