Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-12 · 19:45
11.7255.8%
X3.5726.9%
25.5217.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Lazio
WDWDLWWWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Lecce
WDLWWLLLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
0.70
0.70
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
20%
30%
BTTS
20%

By half

0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.80
Against
4.90
8.60
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.70
0.70
Goals conceded
1.10
2.10
Total goals
1.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
0%0/10
30%3/10
BTTS
20%2/10
Matchup

Lazio attack

1.40goals per match
Lecce conceded1.10
Matchup

Lecce attack

0.70goals per match
Lazio conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.90
8.60
Match total
8.90
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
1.60N=10
5.20
Match total
3.20
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

13.50N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
26.80
Match total
25.60

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
4.20
On target
2.80
11%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches170
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.8%54.1%-1.6 pp
Draw26.9%28.2%+1.4 pp
Away17.4%17.6%+0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.516.5%
BTTS45.3%

Historical average

1.480.76

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-114.1%
1-012.9%
1-112.4%
0-011.8%
2-011.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.353.51
Average total8.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=170.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.554.7%
Over 9.540.0%
Over 10.530.0%
Over 11.522.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches65
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.1%31.8%–55.2% CI
Draw FT38.5%27.6%–50.6% CI
Away FT18.5%10.9%–29.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals36.9%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.4%
Away30.8%