Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-12 · 19:45
11.7255.8%
X3.5726.9%
25.5217.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Lazio
WDWDLWWWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Lecce
WDLWWLLLLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
0.70
0.70
Conceded
1.10
30%
Over 2.5
20%
30%
BTTS
20%
By half
0.90
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
0.90
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.80N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.80
Against
4.90
8.60
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
0.70
0.70
Goals conceded
1.10
2.10
Total goals
1.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Lazio attack
1.40goals per matchLecce conceded1.10Matchup
Lecce attack
0.70goals per matchLazio conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.90
8.60
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
1.60N=10
5.20
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.50N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
26.80
Match total
25.60
Shots
12.50N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
4.20
On target
2.80
11%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches170
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.8%54.1%-1.6 pp
Draw26.9%28.2%+1.4 pp
Away17.4%17.6%+0.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.2%
Over 2.541.8%
Over 3.516.5%
BTTS45.3%
Historical average
1.48–0.76
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-114.1%
1-012.9%
1-112.4%
0-011.8%
2-011.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.35–3.51
Average total8.85
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=170.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.554.7%
Over 9.540.0%
Over 10.530.0%
Over 11.522.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches65
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.1%31.8%–55.2% CI
Draw FT38.5%27.6%–50.6% CI
Away FT18.5%10.9%–29.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.25
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal69.2%
2+ goals36.9%
3+ goals15.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.4%
Away30.8%