Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-08 · 19:45
12.3640.4%
X3.4527.7%
22.9931.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sassuolo
DLLWLWWDWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Bologna
LLWWWLDWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.70
Against
3.90
9.90
Total
7.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
1.80
2.20
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Sassuolo attack

1.10goals per match
Bologna conceded1.80
Matchup

Bologna attack

1.30goals per match
Sassuolo conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.10
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.70
Corners against
3.90
9.90
Match total
7.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.40
Match total
4.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
23.20
Match total
23.60

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
4.70
On target
3.90
8%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches489
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.4%41.7%+1.3 pp
Draw27.7%28.4%+0.8 pp
Away31.9%29.9%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.3%
Over 2.552.1%
Over 3.529.0%
BTTS57.5%

Historical average

1.521.20

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.7%
1-29.4%
2-19.2%
2-08.4%
0-18.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.524.57
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=488.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.6%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.541.0%
Over 11.530.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches139
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT35.3%27.8%–43.5% CI
Draw FT40.3%32.5%–48.6% CI
Away FT24.5%18.1%–32.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.47

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal74.8%
2+ goals46.0%
3+ goals19.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.8%
Away48.2%