Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-08 · 17:30
12.1843.6%
X3.1530.2%
23.6426.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Empoli
WWWDDLLWLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Salernitana
LLLWLDDDDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.90
1.10
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
40%
30%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.60
1.60
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.70
Against
5.50
10.40
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.90
2.30
Total goals
2.80
60%6/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Empoli attack

1.20goals per match
Salernitana conceded1.90
Matchup

Salernitana attack

0.90goals per match
Empoli conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
5.70
Corners against
5.50
10.40
Match total
8.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.30
Match total
3.30
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.00N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
23.90
Match total
25.80

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
7.50N=10
4.20
On target
2.40
8%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches344
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.6%42.4%-1.2 pp
Draw30.2%32.0%+1.8 pp
Away26.1%25.6%-0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.543.6%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS53.2%

Historical average

1.411.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.7%
1-010.2%
2-19.9%
0-09.0%
2-08.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.234.58
Average total9.80

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=344.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.5%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.539.2%
Over 11.528.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches104
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.5%27.9%–46.1% CI
Draw FT42.3%33.3%–51.9% CI
Away FT21.2%14.4%–30.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.2%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.0%
Away40.4%