Serie A · 2022/23
2023-05-07 · 17:00
11.8551.6%
X3.7325.6%
24.2022.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Napoli
WWWWWLWLDD
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Fiorentina
WLLDLWWWLD
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
1.20
50%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.50
1.90
2H goals
1.20
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
5.20N=10
3.40
Against
4.40
10.00
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.20
2.80
Total goals
2.70
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Napoli attack

1.80goals per match
Fiorentina conceded1.20
Matchup

Fiorentina attack

1.50goals per match
Napoli conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
3.40
Corners against
4.40
10.00
Match total
9.60
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.90N=10
3.70
Match total
5.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

10.90N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
22.30
Match total
27.00

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
5.60
On target
4.10
11%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches223
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.6%47.5%-4.1 pp
Draw25.6%27.4%+1.7 pp
Away22.7%25.1%+2.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.1%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.531.4%
BTTS59.2%

Historical average

1.651.19

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.3%
1-09.4%
2-19.0%
1-27.6%
3-16.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.074.31
Average total10.38

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=223.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.1%
Over 9.558.3%
Over 10.545.7%
Over 11.538.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches66
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT39.4%28.5%–51.5% CI
Draw FT43.9%32.6%–55.9% CI
Away FT16.7%9.6%–27.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.3%
2+ goals47.0%
3+ goals15.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.6%
Away43.9%